“Strong upper-level winds and dry air are expected to limit significant development of this system while it drifts southward and southwestward over the central Atlantic during the next couple of days, and likely dissipate by the end of the week,” the hurricane center predicted. However, further development is unlikely. The other feature is located about 600 miles east of Bermuda and is producing some shower activity. The hurricane center is giving it a 30% chance of development within five days. One is a tropical wave just off the coast of Africa. There are two other areas the hurricane center is watching for potential development. (See more on the Texas flooding potential below.) This is like what occurred last weekend with potential tropical cyclone four. While it only has a 20% chance of development during the next five days, it will be something to keep our eyes on as we head into Labor Day weekend.Įven if the storm does not develop, it will enhance the rainfall in Texas by pumping extra moisture into the state. “Environmental conditions could support some slow development of the system thereafter while it moves generally west-northwestward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and toward the Yucatán Peninsula of Mexico,” the hurricane center noted. I’m not saying this is what’s going to happen, I’m just saying this is definitely worth watching throughout the week.ĭevelopment potential in the western CaribbeanĬloser to home, the hurricane center is monitoring an area in the western Caribbean for potential development. The bigger the storm, the higher the seas will be, and stronger the rip currents.Īlso, the closer the storm gets to the US, the bigger the effects will be. If there is in fact a hurricane offshore on Labor Day, it could have implications for the US, even without a direct hit.Īlong the East Coast, we could see gusty winds and even rip currents at the beaches, even if the storm stays well offshore. We’ve told you before trusting a forecast model beyond seven days is something we should not do, because it’s most likely a “fantasy storm.” BUT we are within the seven-day window now, so the next few model runs will be very telling about what the storm might eventually do. Right now, they both keep it away from the US, but with it being nearly a week away, things could change. Both forecast models - the American and the European - show the storm forming. The American model is forecasting more than 100 mph wind gusts with this potential storm on Labor Day. It could, however, create a rip current risk for portions of the East Coast, depending on how strong the storm gets and how close the storm gets to the US before veering away. It could have an interaction with Bermuda, but right now, (key words ‘right now’) it does not pose a direct threat to the United States. Right now, the forecast models have the storm staying north of the Leeward Islands, making a curve to the northeast, and staying out to sea. The hurricane center is giving it a 50% chance of becoming a tropical system within the next 48 hours and an 80% chance of formation within the next five days. The disturbance is going to continue its westward motion, then shift gradually northwest toward the Leeward Islands throughout the course of the week. “Although environmental conditions are only marginally favorable, some gradual development of this system is expected over the next several days and a tropical depression is likely to form later this week,” the hurricane center wrote in its tropical outlook. The main area of concern is still well out in the Atlantic, but it has the best chance of becoming our next named storm (Danielle). We realize talking about your Labor Day forecast a week out might be a touch early, but with the tropics coming alive this week, there are some things we think need to be on your radar. The main areas covered are Europe, the USA and parts of Asia, South America and Australia.The National Hurricane Center is actively watching four areas right now for tropical development, and two have a decent shot of affecting the US on Labor Day weekend. In the dark grey zones there are no measuring stations, so that no severe weather can be displayed there. The light grey regions on the map are monitored by measuring stations, where severe weather can be recorded and displayed. The map can be zoomed in or out and scrolled at will. With the play button the course of the Hurricane in the last hour can be played. Hurricane Radar – Tornado – Typhoon, Storm Map Move the map to find the storm you want to track. The hurricane tracker map shows you worldwide severe storms, Hurricane, Tornado, Typhoon and lightning and let u know how a storm moves. Includes tracking map, live radar, forecast cones and tracks, wind speed and pressure charts. Hurricane and Tropical Storm Tracker live.
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